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Bitcoin price and six month 25-delta Skew Analysis

What is BTC 25 Delta Skew 6-Month?

Definition: BTC 25 delta skew 6-month measures the difference in implied volatility between 25-delta Put and Call Bitcoin options with 180-day expirations, normalized by at-the-money implied volatility. This provides the longest-term view of market sentiment available in liquid Bitcoin options markets.

This chart displays the BTC-USD price alongside the 6-month 25 delta skew from the Deribit Bitcoin options market. The semi-annual skew reveals how options traders are positioning themselves for potential price movements over a half-year horizon, capturing long-term structural market shifts and macro trends.

How to Read 6-Month Bitcoin Options 25 Delta Skew

The 6-month skew is particularly valuable for identifying major market cycle shifts and long-term sentiment changes. This timeframe often reflects strategic institutional positioning and captures fundamental shifts in market structure that shorter-term metrics might miss.

Compare BTC 25 Delta Skew Across Different Timeframes

For a complete view of market sentiment from short to long-term horizons, compare the 6-month 25 delta skew with shorter timeframes:

Key Insight

The 6-month Bitcoin 25 delta skew often serves as an early warning system for major market cycle shifts. Extreme readings or significant trend changes in this timeframe frequently precede substantive, longer-duration price movements in Bitcoin markets.