Weekly Trade Recommendations for Friday 28 February, 2025

“Bearish Options Strategy for BTC Amid ETF Selling Pressure and Positive Skew”

Market Analysis: The current market data suggests a predominantly bearish sentiment for Bitcoin. The ETF inflows are negative, indicating that institutions are selling, which is a bearish signal. The ETF pressure data is positive, suggesting more selling pressure from ETFs, further supporting a bearish outlook. The 25-delta weekly options skew is positive, indicating that puts are more expensive than calls, which also points to a bearish sentiment. Although address activity shows a positive change over the last 7 days, the majority of indicators suggest a bearish market outlook.

Strategy Recommendation: Given the bearish sentiment, a Bear Call Spread is an appropriate strategy. This involves selling a call option at a lower strike price and buying another call option at a higher strike price. This strategy is suitable for a bearish market outlook and limits potential losses, making it a relatively low-risk choice.

Risk & Reward Considerations: The Bear Call Spread limits potential losses to the difference between the strike prices minus the net premium received. However, the maximum profit is limited to the net premium received. This strategy is effective if BTC remains below the lower strike price by expiration.

Conclusion: The Bear Call Spread is an appropriate strategy given the bearish sentiment indicated by the majority of market indicators. It provides a low-risk way to potentially profit from the expected decline in BTC price.

### Summary of the Play
- Strategy: Bear Call Spread
- Expiry Date: March 07, 2025
- Strike Prices: 86000, 87000